Kirsty Hughes is always a welcome guest on our podcasts. We think she has the knack of clarifying complex issues and putting them into context without overly-simplifying them. A few days after the Supreme Court delivered their ruling on a Scottish referendum, I saw this Twitter thread by Kirsty Hughes. Here are her thoughts on going for a quasi-referendum.
There are other disadvantages to pursuing a quasi-referendum which Kirsty doesn’t mention. Voters aged 16 and 17, and EU citizens resident in Scotland are eligible to vote in a conventional referendum. But they are not eligible to vote in a UK General Election. And those two blocks of voters are highly pro-Independence.
Probable Unionist U-Turns
The Unionist parties are already nailing their colours to the mast on basis that you can’t make a general election into a one-issue referendum. And you can find more on that here: Geese, Ganders & Sauce.
But I bet that Kirsty is right when she says if fewer than 50% of the votes cast are for independence supporting parties, the Unionists will drop their anti de facto referendum stance. At that they will do a rapid U-turn. We know they are good at U-turns. And then they’ll say “That’s that then, you didn’t vote for it, that’s it settled, no need for another stand-alone referendum. Ever.”.
And the Job is Still to be Done
Our job is to keep on plugging away till we are certain that we have built support for independence into the settled will of Scotland. We’re nearly there. But the job isn’t finished.